{
  "id": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
  "_kind": "LibrarySkill",
  "_file": "generated-library/skills.yaml",
  "_cluster": "generated-library",
  "attributes": {
    "displayName": "reference-class-forecaster",
    "description": "Reference class forecasting skill to counter optimism bias using historical analogies",
    "libraryPath": "library/specializations/domains/business/decision-intelligence/skills/reference-class-forecaster/SKILL.md",
    "specialization": "decision-intelligence",
    "contentSummary": "# Reference Class Forecaster\n\n## Overview\n\nThe Reference Class Forecaster skill implements reference class forecasting methodology to counter optimism bias and the planning fallacy. It uses historical data from comparable projects or decisions to generate empirically-grounded forecasts, providin"
  },
  "outgoingEdges": [
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "skill-area:statistical-analysis",
      "kind": "lib_requires_skill_area",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "skill-area:quantitative-modeling",
      "kind": "lib_requires_skill_area",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 0.7
      }
    },
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "skill-area:strategic-analysis",
      "kind": "lib_requires_skill_area",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 0.5
      }
    },
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "domain:business-intelligence",
      "kind": "lib_applies_to_domain",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "role:data-analyst",
      "kind": "lib_involves_role",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "role:strategic-planner",
      "kind": "lib_involves_role",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 0.7
      }
    },
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "role:research-scientist",
      "kind": "lib_involves_role",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 0.5
      }
    },
    {
      "from": "lib-skill:decision-intelligence--reference-class-forecaster",
      "to": "specialization:decision-intelligence",
      "kind": "lib_belongs_to_specialization",
      "attributes": {
        "weight": 0.9
      }
    }
  ],
  "incomingEdges": []
}